Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 40.3% | 28.3% | −12.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 50.6% | 60.4% | +9.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 37.2% | 27.6% | −9.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 45.6% | 54.1% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 35.8% | 27.8% | −8.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 17.8% | 25.4% | +7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 72.7% | 79.9% | +7.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 17.2% | 10.0% | −7.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 35.2% | 41.9% | +6.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 15.3% | 8.9% | −6.4 |
