Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Sevilla with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 50.9% | 35.1% | −15.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 34.3% | 20.8% | −13.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 41.9% | 54.4% | +12.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 79.9% | 67.5% | −12.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 38.5% | 50.1% | +11.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 19.7% | 10.2% | −9.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 27.8% | 19.5% | −8.4 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 27.6% | 35.8% | +8.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 60.4% | 66.5% | +6.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 54.1% | 59.8% | +5.7 |
