Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Rayo Vallecano with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 63.2% | 50.6% | −12.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 45.2% | 33.1% | −12.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.2% | 66.8% | +11.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 22.7% | 12.4% | −10.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 36.1% | 45.6% | +9.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 20.0% | 10.6% | −9.4 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 28.4% | 37.2% | +8.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 27.1% | 34.7% | +7.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.1% | 22.4% | +7.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 16.3% | 22.8% | +6.5 |
