Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Barcelona with a 12.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 11 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 79.5% | 52.7% | −26.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 14.8% | 32.2% | +17.5 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 48.5% | 34.2% | −14.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 22.3% | 7.9% | −14.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 69.6% | 80.9% | +11.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 66.8% | 78.1% | +11.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 5.7% | 15.0% | +9.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 45.0% | 52.9% | +7.9 |
| Levante | Relegation | 87.8% | 81.7% | −6.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 1.6% | 6.8% | +5.2 |
