Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Barcelona with a 23.9% chance and Las Palmas beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on April 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Europa League | 65.4% | 48.5% | −16.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 59.8% | 75.3% | +15.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 91.9% | 79.5% | −12.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 5.7% | 14.8% | +9.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 63.0% | 69.6% | +6.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 70.8% | 76.8% | +6.0 |
| Granada | Relegation | 50.5% | 45.0% | −5.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 84.1% | 87.8% | +3.7 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 91.3% | 94.7% | +3.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 2.5% | 5.7% | +3.3 |
