Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Real Sociedad with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 81.7% | 96.9% | +15.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 34.2% | 22.2% | −12.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 75.0% | 85.9% | +10.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 78.1% | 68.3% | −9.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 78.1% | 70.4% | −7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 80.9% | 85.8% | +4.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 32.2% | 36.5% | +4.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.0% | 10.8% | −4.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 90.3% | 93.9% | +3.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 9.7% | 6.1% | −3.6 |
