Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Madrid beat Barcelona with a 24.0% chance and Real Sociedad beat Sevilla with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 20 (before the first match) against those on April 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 70.4% | 91.3% | +20.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 27.3% | 8.5% | −18.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 39.8% | 23.7% | −16.1 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 48.7% | 63.6% | +14.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 13.8% | 3.4% | −10.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 50.3% | 59.8% | +9.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 76.9% | 84.1% | +7.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 8.2% | 2.4% | −5.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 57.5% | 63.0% | +5.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 55.9% | 50.5% | −5.4 |
