Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Getafe with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 32.4% | 18.7% | −13.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 49.8% | 63.2% | +13.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 29.9% | 41.6% | +11.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 38.8% | 27.1% | −11.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 34.1% | 45.2% | +11.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 44.9% | 55.2% | +10.2 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 19.1% | 10.0% | −9.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 19.1% | 11.0% | −8.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 20.7% | 12.7% | −8.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 28.2% | 36.1% | +7.9 |
