Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Espanyol with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on March 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 48.7% | 30.1% | −18.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 50.9% | 35.2% | −15.7 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 56.4% | 67.8% | +11.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 27.1% | 37.1% | +10.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 53.4% | 63.4% | +10.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 11.5% | 3.7% | −7.8 |
| Levante | Relegation | 75.2% | 82.3% | +7.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 8.6% | 15.5% | +6.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 19.5% | 26.0% | +6.5 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 63.9% | 70.3% | +6.4 |
