Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Eibar with a 15.1% chance, Atlético Madrid beat Real Madrid with a 23.7% chance, and Granada beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 13.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 21 (before the first match) against those on February 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 37.1% | 56.4% | +19.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 35.7% | 53.4% | +17.6 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 65.9% | 48.7% | −17.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 67.1% | 50.9% | −16.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 34.4% | 45.1% | +10.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 16.7% | 27.1% | +10.4 |
| Levante | Relegation | 66.2% | 75.2% | +8.9 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 15.7% | 7.2% | −8.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 16.9% | 8.6% | −8.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 12.6% | 7.0% | −5.6 |
