Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Villarreal with a 10.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 3 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 30.1% | 12.5% | −17.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 35.2% | 46.7% | +11.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 67.8% | 78.3% | +10.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 15.5% | 7.0% | −8.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 87.6% | 79.2% | −8.5 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 63.4% | 71.8% | +8.4 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 11.9% | 19.9% | +8.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 39.7% | 31.8% | −7.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 26.0% | 33.2% | +7.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 3.1% | 9.0% | +5.8 |
