Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Athletic Club with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 17 (before the first match) against those on February 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 21.7% | 34.4% | +12.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 77.9% | 66.2% | −11.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 47.3% | 35.7% | −11.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 28.0% | 16.9% | −11.0 |
| Granada | Relegation | 57.8% | 67.1% | +9.3 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 57.8% | 65.9% | +8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 81.3% | 89.3% | +8.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 10.8% | 16.7% | +5.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 11.4% | 6.2% | −5.2 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 19.7% | 15.7% | −4.1 |
