Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Granada with a 24.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
EibarRelegation31.6%19.1%−12.5
GranadaRelegation27.2%38.8%+11.6
BarcelonaChampions League54.6%62.6%+7.9
Athletic ClubChampions League26.5%19.1%−7.4
Celta VigoChampions League22.8%29.9%+7.1
BarcelonaChampion18.0%24.3%+6.2
Atlético MadridChampions League45.3%49.8%+4.5
EspanyolChampions League16.4%20.7%+4.3
Real MadridChampions League49.1%44.9%−4.2
LevanteRelegation15.0%19.1%+4.1
Home 38.6%
Draw 30.0%
Away 31.4%
Home 38.7%
Draw 29.9%
Away 31.4%
Home 58.3%
Draw 22.1%
Away 19.6%
Home 80.3%
Draw 14.5%
Away 5.3%
Home 32.7%
Draw 30.9%
Away 36.4%
Home 35.4%
Draw 31.3%
Away 33.2%
Home 15.6%
Draw 19.8%
Away 64.6%
Home 34.7%
Draw 31.7%
Away 33.6%
Home 22.2%
Draw 23.6%
Away 54.1%
Home 51.2%
Draw 24.8%
Away 24.1%