Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 2 draws and 7 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Elche with a 22.8% chance, Granada beat Athletic Club with a 15.5% chance, and Almería beat Real Sociedad with a 12.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | Relegation | 35.1% | 20.3% | −14.8 |
| Almería | Relegation | 34.4% | 22.5% | −11.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 41.9% | 52.6% | +10.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 27.1% | 17.2% | −9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 25.1% | 15.3% | −9.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 27.5% | 36.0% | +8.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 61.4% | 53.0% | −8.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 45.5% | 53.9% | +8.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 32.1% | 40.2% | +8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 34.2% | 41.8% | +7.6 |
