Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Granada with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 22 (before the first match) against those on September 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Relegation | 25.5% | 15.2% | −10.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 41.8% | 32.6% | −9.2 |
| Levante | Relegation | 24.9% | 16.1% | −8.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 52.6% | 61.3% | +8.7 |
| Córdoba | Relegation | 57.0% | 64.7% | +7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.2% | 10.0% | −7.2 |
| Elche | Relegation | 31.8% | 38.9% | +7.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 36.0% | 43.0% | +7.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 28.8% | 35.3% | +6.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 20.1% | 13.9% | −6.3 |
