Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Rayo Vallecano with a 16.8% chance and Deportivo La Coruña beat Eibar with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 39.6% | 27.1% | −12.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 42.9% | 32.1% | −10.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 34.8% | 24.2% | −10.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 51.8% | 61.4% | +9.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 66.7% | 76.1% | +9.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 36.1% | 45.5% | +9.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 32.8% | 41.9% | +9.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 20.5% | 29.4% | +8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 36.1% | 27.5% | −8.6 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 27.7% | 35.1% | +7.4 |
