Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.6% | 5.9% | −26.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 67.4% | 94.1% | +26.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 20.3% | 39.1% | +18.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 73.0% | 55.0% | −18.0 |
| Granada | Relegation | 88.1% | 70.2% | −17.8 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 18.2% | 35.6% | +17.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 15.2% | 5.9% | −9.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 84.9% | 94.1% | +9.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 14.7% | 5.9% | −8.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 85.3% | 94.1% | +8.8 |
