Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Real Sociedad with a 15.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 70.2% | 18.6% | −51.6 |
| Almería | Relegation | 39.1% | 79.7% | +40.6 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 35.6% | 48.6% | +13.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 5.9% | 18.4% | +12.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 5.9% | 18.4% | +12.5 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 94.1% | 81.6% | −12.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 94.1% | 81.6% | −12.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 5.9% | 0% | −5.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 94.1% | 100% | +5.9 |
