Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Getafe with a 20.7% chance and Elche beat Málaga with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 30 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 39.2% | 15.2% | −24.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 60.8% | 84.9% | +24.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 61.4% | 85.3% | +23.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 38.6% | 14.7% | −23.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 96.2% | 88.1% | −8.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 25.3% | 32.6% | +7.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 74.7% | 67.4% | −7.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 68.5% | 73.0% | +4.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 93.8% | 97.2% | +3.4 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 15.1% | 18.2% | +3.2 |
