Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Barcelona with a 10.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 16 (before the first match) against those on February 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 40.2% | 21.8% | −18.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 54.5% | 71.4% | +17.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 33.5% | 19.4% | −14.2 |
| Levante | Relegation | 41.7% | 28.5% | −13.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 35.2% | 25.1% | −10.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 64.3% | 74.3% | +10.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 19.1% | 9.7% | −9.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 63.4% | 72.8% | +9.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 25.0% | 33.5% | +8.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 54.7% | 60.9% | +6.2 |
