Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 23 (before the first match) against those on March 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 71.4% | 60.6% | −10.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 21.8% | 32.6% | +10.8 |
| Granada | Relegation | 60.9% | 67.8% | +6.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 74.3% | 80.8% | +6.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 25.1% | 18.8% | −6.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 19.4% | 13.3% | −6.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 9.0% | 3.4% | −5.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 33.5% | 28.1% | −5.3 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 16.0% | 20.8% | +4.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 38.0% | 33.2% | −4.7 |
