Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Málaga with a 22.0% chance and Elche beat Eibar with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 9 (before the first match) against those on February 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 49.7% | 34.0% | −15.7 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.9% | 14.4% | −11.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 65.2% | 74.9% | +9.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 17.2% | 7.9% | −9.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 24.8% | 33.5% | +8.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 34.2% | 41.7% | +7.6 |
| Córdoba | Relegation | 63.7% | 71.1% | +7.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 57.0% | 64.3% | +7.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 40.9% | 35.2% | −5.7 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 15.6% | 10.2% | −5.4 |
