Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Málaga with a 13.5% chance, Rayo Vallecano beat Getafe with a 24.6% chance, and Eibar beat Espanyol with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 21 (before the first match) against those on January 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 30.5% | 44.8% | +14.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 41.7% | 52.9% | +11.1 |
| Córdoba | Relegation | 63.4% | 53.0% | −10.4 |
| Almería | Relegation | 39.1% | 29.2% | −9.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 44.2% | 35.7% | −8.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 34.3% | 26.3% | −8.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 42.7% | 49.8% | +7.1 |
| Levante | Relegation | 15.7% | 22.8% | +7.0 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 13.2% | 6.5% | −6.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 11.3% | 17.9% | +6.6 |
