Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Córdoba beat Athletic Club with a 8.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 1 (before the first match) against those on December 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba | Relegation | 70.7% | 56.3% | −14.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 39.8% | 30.6% | −9.2 |
| Almería | Relegation | 39.1% | 47.4% | +8.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 30.6% | 38.8% | +8.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 45.6% | 53.7% | +8.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 21.7% | 14.5% | −7.2 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 11.0% | 4.4% | −6.6 |
| Elche | Relegation | 50.4% | 56.7% | +6.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 9.6% | 4.1% | −5.4 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 33.2% | 38.5% | +5.3 |
