Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Celta Vigo with a 14.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 52.5% | 39.8% | −12.7 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 20.0% | 11.0% | −8.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 38.1% | 45.6% | +7.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 19.1% | 11.9% | −7.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 15.0% | 8.2% | −6.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 32.6% | 39.1% | +6.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 10.7% | 4.4% | −6.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 24.5% | 18.4% | −6.1 |
| Elche | Relegation | 44.3% | 50.4% | +6.1 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 12.7% | 7.4% | −5.3 |
