Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Málaga with a 16.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 11 (before the first match) against those on March 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 29.9% | 13.4% | −16.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 31.5% | 44.6% | +13.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 13.5% | 21.9% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 33.0% | 40.5% | +7.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 59.5% | 65.6% | +6.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 14.5% | 8.7% | −5.8 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 37.7% | 32.1% | −5.6 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 14.4% | 19.6% | +5.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 96.3% | 91.6% | −4.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 5.0% | 0.6% | −4.4 |
