Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Mallorca with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on April 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 49.6% | 67.9% | +18.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 20.9% | 8.4% | −12.6 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 13.4% | 24.2% | +10.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Europa League | 19.0% | 10.1% | −8.9 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 37.8% | 46.2% | +8.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 26.2% | 34.2% | +8.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 91.6% | 85.1% | −6.5 |
| Levante | Europa League | 6.3% | 10.7% | +4.4 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 32.1% | 28.4% | −3.8 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 4.9% | 1.4% | −3.5 |
