Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Osasuna with a 20.3% chance and Mallorca beat Granada with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 77.5% | 62.8% | −14.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 23.3% | 11.2% | −12.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 23.4% | 31.0% | +7.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 42.1% | 49.8% | +7.6 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 26.4% | 33.6% | +7.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 7.3% | 12.8% | +5.4 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 10.9% | 15.9% | +5.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 6.4% | 10.5% | +4.1 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 39.3% | 36.3% | −3.0 |
