Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Rayo Vallecano with a 23.8% chance and Osasuna beat Levante with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 17 (before the first match) against those on February 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 55.1% | 42.1% | −13.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 65.1% | 77.5% | +12.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 47.1% | 35.2% | −11.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 17.6% | 7.3% | −10.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 10.3% | 20.3% | +10.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 21.1% | 30.5% | +9.4 |
| Levante | Europa League | 20.5% | 11.5% | −9.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Europa League | 25.0% | 17.3% | −7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 16.9% | 23.3% | +6.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 17.6% | 23.4% | +5.8 |
