Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Real Betis with a 20.2% chance, Granada beat Osasuna with a 16.8% chance, and Real Zaragoza beat Athletic Club with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 17 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 47.4% | 60.0% | +12.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 18.8% | 30.7% | +11.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 60.3% | 71.6% | +11.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 55.6% | 44.8% | −10.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 34.0% | 23.5% | −10.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 46.5% | 37.1% | −9.4 |
| Levante | Champions League | 24.5% | 15.6% | −8.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 34.6% | 41.5% | +6.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 17.3% | 24.1% | +6.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 15.2% | 8.5% | −6.7 |
