Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Valencia with a 16.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 10 (before the first match) against those on December 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 79.5% | 89.9% | +10.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 37.4% | 47.4% | +10.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 25.9% | 34.0% | +8.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 17.3% | 9.8% | −7.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 13.0% | 6.0% | −6.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 12.1% | 5.8% | −6.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 23.4% | 17.3% | −6.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 28.7% | 34.6% | +5.9 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 24.0% | 29.8% | +5.9 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 13.0% | 7.2% | −5.7 |
