Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Málaga with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 22 (before the first match) against those on January 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 60.0% | 45.4% | −14.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 41.5% | 28.5% | −13.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 71.6% | 60.6% | −11.0 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 37.1% | 43.9% | +6.8 |
| Granada | Relegation | 44.8% | 51.5% | +6.8 |
| Levante | Champions League | 15.6% | 22.2% | +6.7 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 25.3% | 31.6% | +6.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 12.4% | 18.6% | +6.1 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 14.5% | 9.1% | −5.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 30.7% | 36.0% | +5.4 |
