Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Rayo Vallecano with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 3 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 24.0% | 11.6% | −12.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 20.7% | 13.0% | −7.8 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 29.9% | 37.4% | +7.5 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 21.8% | 14.7% | −7.1 |
| Levante | Europa League | 21.6% | 28.2% | +6.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 54.2% | 60.2% | +6.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 51.1% | 56.8% | +5.8 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 18.1% | 23.4% | +5.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 12.7% | 17.3% | +4.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 21.9% | 25.9% | +4.1 |
