Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Champions League | 36.0% | 22.3% | −13.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 24.5% | 11.9% | −12.6 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 50.8% | 59.1% | +8.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 54.0% | 62.1% | +8.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 32.8% | 40.9% | +8.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 19.9% | 12.5% | −7.5 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 29.9% | 36.8% | +6.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 52.4% | 59.2% | +6.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 32.4% | 38.6% | +6.2 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 14.0% | 8.0% | −6.0 |
