Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 26.7% | 14.0% | −12.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 43.3% | 54.0% | +10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 26.2% | 36.5% | +10.2 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 18.1% | 9.5% | −8.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 40.4% | 48.8% | +8.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 56.6% | 64.8% | +8.3 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 22.8% | 29.6% | +6.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 37.7% | 32.4% | −5.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 12.9% | 17.9% | +5.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 20.0% | 24.5% | +4.5 |