Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 51.1% | 40.4% | −10.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 27.5% | 20.0% | −7.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 41.3% | 48.6% | +7.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 17.5% | 24.3% | +6.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 37.5% | 43.3% | +5.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 16.7% | 11.0% | −5.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 26.6% | 21.0% | −5.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 51.1% | 56.6% | +5.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 32.4% | 37.7% | +5.3 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 17.7% | 22.8% | +5.1 |