Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Málaga with a 20.3% chance and Real Valladolid beat Valencia with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 22 (before the first match) against those on March 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 38.0% | 24.2% | −13.8 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 28.8% | 15.1% | −13.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 30.7% | 17.0% | −13.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 55.0% | 67.6% | +12.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 69.7% | 81.7% | +12.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 21.6% | 32.9% | +11.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 22.6% | 32.7% | +10.1 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 18.6% | 9.1% | −9.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 25.0% | 33.8% | +8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 89.6% | 80.9% | −8.7 |
