Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Barcelona with a 8.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 15 (before the first match) against those on February 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Relegation | 70.5% | 55.0% | −15.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 33.3% | 21.6% | −11.7 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 70.2% | 80.6% | +10.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 60.8% | 69.7% | +8.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 46.3% | 38.0% | −8.4 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 22.7% | 30.6% | +7.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 42.5% | 35.0% | −7.5 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 11.8% | 18.6% | +6.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 95.9% | 89.6% | −6.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 4.0% | 10.2% | +6.2 |
