Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Sevilla with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 18 (before the first match) against those on January 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 59.6% | 48.7% | −10.8 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 36.1% | 46.3% | +10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 77.5% | 87.3% | +9.8 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 9.8% | 17.8% | +8.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 74.6% | 67.0% | −7.6 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 26.6% | 19.2% | −7.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 41.5% | 34.4% | −7.1 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 11.6% | 18.7% | +7.1 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 16.4% | 9.6% | −6.9 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 15.8% | 10.1% | −5.6 |
