Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Real Valladolid with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 11 (before the first match) against those on January 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 39.3% | 26.6% | −12.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 52.4% | 41.5% | −10.9 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 18.4% | 8.5% | −9.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 45.3% | 53.8% | +8.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 36.4% | 43.5% | +7.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 70.7% | 77.5% | +6.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 52.8% | 59.6% | +6.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 17.5% | 11.8% | −5.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 61.0% | 66.5% | +5.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 39.8% | 34.9% | −4.9 |
