Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Numancia beat Barcelona with a 23.9% chance and Recreativo Huelva beat Real Betis with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on August 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 37.4% | 51.1% | +13.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 50.2% | 37.5% | −12.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 17.3% | 29.6% | +12.4 |
| Almería | Champions League | 22.9% | 35.2% | +12.3 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 40.5% | 52.6% | +12.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 41.0% | 29.0% | −12.0 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 35.4% | 23.9% | −11.5 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 26.6% | 16.3% | −10.3 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 26.6% | 17.7% | −8.9 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 10.8% | 18.5% | +7.7 |
