Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Atlético Madrid with a 16.6% chance and Málaga beat Real Betis with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 4 (before the first match) against those on January 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | Relegation | 51.2% | 35.9% | −15.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 56.1% | 69.9% | +13.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 57.4% | 70.7% | +13.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 52.5% | 39.8% | −12.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 40.9% | 52.8% | +11.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 27.4% | 17.5% | −9.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 53.6% | 61.0% | +7.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 16.1% | 9.7% | −6.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 12.9% | 18.4% | +5.5 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 8.3% | 13.3% | +5.0 |
