Round 15

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 9 home wins, 1 draw and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Recreativo HuelvaRelegation53.8%43.8%−10.0
Athletic ClubRelegation23.3%13.4%−10.0
Real MadridChampions League48.0%38.7%−9.3
VillarrealChampions League63.7%54.6%−9.1
SevillaChampions League55.4%64.5%+9.1
Deportivo La CoruñaChampions League21.2%12.9%−8.3
NumanciaRelegation43.7%51.6%+7.9
Atlético MadridChampions League47.2%55.0%+7.8
BarcelonaChampion72.5%79.1%+6.6
MálagaRelegation14.1%7.6%−6.4
Home 65.2%
Draw 19.9%
Away 14.8%
Home 59.1%
Draw 21.8%
Away 19.1%
Home 46.3%
Draw 26.0%
Away 27.7%
Home 53.8%
Draw 23.5%
Away 22.7%
Home 49.7%
Draw 24.9%
Away 25.5%
Home 56.4%
Draw 22.7%
Away 20.9%
Home 43.8%
Draw 26.9%
Away 29.4%
Home 48.8%
Draw 25.1%
Away 26.1%
Home 46.9%
Draw 25.8%
Away 27.3%
Home 61.4%
Draw 21.1%
Away 17.5%