Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Real Betis with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 14 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 67.7% | 55.9% | −11.8 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 51.6% | 40.6% | −11.0 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 43.8% | 54.5% | +10.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 55.0% | 65.1% | +10.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 54.6% | 44.8% | −9.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 38.7% | 47.4% | +8.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 35.5% | 44.0% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 51.9% | 44.2% | −7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 79.1% | 85.9% | +6.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 19.6% | 13.3% | −6.3 |
