Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Espanyol with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 46.6% | 61.2% | +14.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 57.1% | 42.7% | −14.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 72.2% | 61.0% | −11.2 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 34.0% | 22.9% | −11.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 49.6% | 59.8% | +10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 19.0% | 9.9% | −9.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 26.0% | 34.5% | +8.5 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 18.7% | 10.3% | −8.4 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 45.7% | 54.0% | +8.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 23.4% | 31.3% | +7.9 |
