Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Villarreal with a 12.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 16 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 73.5% | 60.7% | −12.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 62.2% | 49.6% | −12.6 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 24.9% | 34.0% | +9.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 16.1% | 8.1% | −8.1 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 55.9% | 62.1% | +6.2 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 17.3% | 23.4% | +6.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 66.3% | 72.2% | +5.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.4% | 19.0% | +5.6 |
| Villarreal | Champion | 17.4% | 12.5% | −4.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 6.2% | 10.9% | +4.7 |
