Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Valencia with a 12.1% chance and Numancia beat Espanyol with a 15.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 60.3% | 46.5% | −13.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 46.3% | 59.6% | +13.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 37.8% | 49.9% | +12.2 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 44.3% | 55.9% | +11.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 51.1% | 62.2% | +11.1 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 58.0% | 46.9% | −11.1 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 34.3% | 24.9% | −9.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 18.2% | 27.0% | +8.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 74.8% | 66.3% | −8.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 23.7% | 16.1% | −7.6 |
