Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Espanyol with a 12.9% chance and Real Sociedad beat Real Zaragoza with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 41.9% | 27.1% | −14.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.6% | 40.0% | +10.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 69.3% | 79.4% | +10.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 22.5% | 13.0% | −9.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 29.5% | 20.6% | −8.8 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 17.6% | 26.1% | +8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 30.4% | 37.8% | +7.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Relegation | 9.4% | 16.6% | +7.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 16.8% | 23.9% | +7.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 16.9% | 10.4% | −6.5 |
