Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Real Madrid with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 40.0% | 26.3% | −13.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 79.4% | 67.1% | −12.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 37.8% | 47.8% | +10.0 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 26.7% | 17.0% | −9.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 23.3% | 14.0% | −9.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 20.6% | 11.4% | −9.2 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 30.4% | 39.2% | +8.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 27.1% | 19.0% | −8.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 29.4% | 37.3% | +7.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 15.9% | 8.5% | −7.4 |
