Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Atlético Madrid with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 30 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Europa League | 42.7% | 8.4% | −34.2 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 57.3% | 91.6% | +34.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 34.5% | 4.0% | −30.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 64.8% | 90.7% | +25.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 73.6% | 49.5% | −24.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 12.2% | 31.9% | +19.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 15.2% | 2.6% | −12.6 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 82.0% | 94.3% | +12.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 81.7% | 90.6% | +8.9 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 2.3% | 11.1% | +8.8 |
